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Lille
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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
2 - 2
Monaco

Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco

Both sides have plenty of quality attacking pieces to count upon, and with many players away for each on international duty, we expect plenty of opportunities both ways. Strikers like Aubameyang and Ben Yedder do not miss their chances often, and we believe they will each have their share of them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
53.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)38.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.01700000000001 0.02)14.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)42.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.86%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.4%
    Monaco 24.44%
    Draw 22.16%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
39.6%
Draw
40.6%
Monaco
19.8%
106
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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