/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fluzth.png)
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Thiemo Barry
15'
-
Leon Avdullahu
43'
-
Thiemo Barry
52'
-
Anton Kade
54'
-
Kevin Ruegg
86'
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Leny Meyer
46'
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Pius Dorn
62'
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Ardon Jasari
69'
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Levin Winkler
78'
Basel vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result
Basel
37.5%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
24.26%
▲
(+0.22)
Luzern
38.24%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
60.5%
▼
(-0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.88%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 2.5
42.12%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 3.5
35.47%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 3.5
64.53%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 4.5
18.62%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 4.5
81.38%
▲
(+0.82)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
77.6%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
22.41%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
44.08%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 1.5
55.92%
▲
(+0.63)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
77.97%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
22.03%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
44.65%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 1.5
55.36%
▲
(+0.98)
Score analysis
Basel
37.5%
Draw
24.25%
Luzern
38.24%
Basel
2-1
@
8.35%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.5%
1-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.5%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▲
(+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.25%
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.25%
Luzern
1-2
@
8.45%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.24%
0-1 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.24%