/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Fluzth.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
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Adrian Grbic
70'
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Ardon Jasari
78'
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Anton Kade
2'
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Anton Kade
41'
Luzern vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result
Luzern
43.87%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
24.12%
▲
(+0.12)
Basel
32.01%
▲
(+0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
59.73%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.4%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
42.6%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
35%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
65%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
18.26%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
81.73%
▲
(+0.31)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
80.38%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
19.62%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
48.43%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
51.57%
▲
(+0.57)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
74.3%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
39.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
60.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Luzern
43.87%
Draw
24.11%
Basel
32.01%
Luzern
2-1
@
9.09%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.87%
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.87%
Draw
1-1
@
11.15%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.11%
2-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.11%
Basel
1-2
@
7.58%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.01%
0-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.01%