Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
71.92% ( 1.34) | 16.42% ( -0.68) | 11.66% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 54.62% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.9% ( 1.6) | 34.1% ( -1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.02% ( 1.79) | 55.98% ( -1.79) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.69% ( 0.7) | 8.31% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.03% ( 1.71) | 28.97% ( -1.71) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.57% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% ( 0.03) | 77.05% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 71.92% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.42% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |