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EFL Cup
Nottingham Forest logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Burnley logo

Nott'm Forest
0 - 1
Burnley


Kouyate (45+3'), Johnson (85'), Aurier (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amdouni (90')
Ekdal (52'), Brownhill (66'), Muric (90+6'), Berge (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Burnley

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-2 Burnley

 Nottingham Forest and Burnley have played a combined total of five matches this season, with each clash producing at least three goals. For that reason, we expect the two sides to serve up an entertaining encounter on Trentside, with Forest edging the contest thanks to their strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
23.99% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 24.25% (0.0020000000000024 0) 51.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (0.054000000000002 0.05)48.5% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)70.62% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.081999999999994 0.08)34.64% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.085000000000001 0.09)71.37% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.72% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 23.99%
    Burnley 51.75%
    Draw 24.25%
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.75%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Burnley

Nottingham Forest
68.1%
Draw
18.8%
Burnley
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Murphy (33')
Gray (57')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Vokes (68')

Jokic (42')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Nott'm Forest
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2013 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916
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