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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
58.85% ( 1.49) | 21.18% ( -0.02) | 19.97% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -1.97) | 39.68% ( 1.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -2.07) | 62.03% ( 2.07) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.2) | 13.2% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.4) | 39.93% ( 0.39) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -2.52) | 33.44% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -2.85) | 70.07% ( 2.85) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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