Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
60.48% | 21.42% | 18.1% |
Both teams to score 53.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% | 43.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% | 66.06% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86% | 14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.48% | 41.52% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.23% | 37.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.46% | 74.54% |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 6.52% 4-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.9% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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