Naarmate de groepsfase zijn hoogtepunt bereikt, is de kwalificatie van Europa League Group C donderdagavond in balans, wanneer Napoli Leicester City organiseert in Stadio Maradona.
Hoewel de vossen als eerste eindigen als ze winnen of beide wedstrijden worden getrokken, kunnen ze zelfs met verlies vorderen. Ondertussen moet de Serie A-zijde drie punten innemen om een plaats in de knock-outfase te garanderen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.