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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
34.28% | 27.51% | 38.21% |
Both teams to score 49.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.5% | 56.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.5% | 77.49% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% | 31.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% | 67.41% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% | 28.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% | 64.47% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |