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Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')

Preview: Cardiff City vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Watford travel to Cardiff City in the Championship on Saturday for what will be the first meeting in South Wales between the two sides since February 2019 in the Premier League.

The Hornets are hoping to consolidate their position in the automatic promotion places with a win this weekend, while the Bluebirds are looking to extend their 11-match unbeaten run.


Match preview

Cardiff City manager Mick McCarthy pictured on February 16, 2021© Reuters

The appointment of Mick McCarthy in January, replacing Neil Harris, has worked wonders as Cardiff are yet to lose under the Irishman, accumulating 25 points from a possible 33.

A goalless draw away at Huddersfield Town extended their unbeaten league run to 11 matches – their best run since a 13-game stretch between January and April 2018 during their last Championship promotion-winning season.

The Bluebirds were languishing in 14th place before McCarthy took charge but since then he has guided them to within four points of the playoffs.

Cardiff have already beaten Watford this campaign, when Kieffer Moore secured a slender 1-0 victory at Vicarage Road in December, which came after the Welsh outfit had lost all of their previous three meetings.

With 11 Championship games still remaining Cardiff will fancy their chances of sneaking into the top six, and McCarthy will hope that his players can replicate recent performances against a fellow promotion hopeful.

Watford's Adam Masina celebrates scoring against Nottingham Forest in the Championship on March 6, 2021© Reuters

Watford claimed their fourth successive home victory when they secured a narrow 1-0 win against Nottingham Forest last weekend.

Adam Masina's first goal of the season was enough to separate the two sides at Vicarage Road, moving the Hornets into the top two for the first time since early November.

Like McCarthy at Cardiff, the appointment of Xisco at Watford has been a success; the Spaniard has won 10 of his 15 Championship matches which has kept the Hornets in the hunt for an immediate return to the Premier League.

Only league leaders Norwich City (33) have won more Championship points than Watford (32) since Xisco's first game in charge on Boxing Day.

The Hornets are looking to win three consecutive away league matches against Cardiff for the first time since September 2007, after convincingly winning their last encounter 5-1 in the Welsh capital.

Watford are still to play Norwich as well as automatic promotion rivals Brentford and Swansea City later this campaign, and Xisco will hope that his side can keep their momentum going into the home straight.

Cardiff City Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Watford Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

Cardiff City's Perry Ng in action with Middlesbrough's Marcus Tavernier on February 27, 2021© Reuters

Cardiff will be without Lee Tomlin and Jordi Osei-Tutu this weekend, but Perry Ng will be back in contention.

Osei-Tutu remains on loan from Arsenal despite missing the last five months of the season with a hamstring injury.

Left-back Joel Bagan is to meet with a specialist to ascertain whether he needs surgery on his dislocated shoulder, which he sustained in the victory against Derby.

Watford midfielders Tom Cleverley and Dan Gosling are both set to miss the match through injury, with the former hoping to return after the international break later this month.

Colombian international Carlos Sanchez, who made his debut against Forest, is in contention to make his first start for the club this weekend.

Nathaniel Chalobah is back from suspension, meanwhile, and is expected to return to the starting lineup at the expense of Philip Zinckernagel.

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Phillips; Morrison, Flint, Nelson; Ng, Vaulks, Pack, Ojo; Wilson, Hoilett; Moore

Watford possible starting lineup:
Bachmann; Femenia, Sierralta, Troost-Ekong, Masina; Sarr, Hughes, Chalobah, Sema; Gray, Pedro


SM words green background

We say: Cardiff City 1-1 Watford


Both sides head into this Championship encounter in good form and have hopes of keeping their momentum going this weekend. Cardiff were able to frustrate Watford last time out, and we can see the Bluebirds causing problems once again, with a score draw on the cards.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
36.0%
Draw
32.0%
Watford
32.0%
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