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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Southampton |
48.18% ( -7.37) | 24.93% ( 1.36) | 26.88% ( 6) |
Both teams to score 53.74% ( 2.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( -0.03) | 71.08% ( 0.03) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -2.9) | 20.37% ( 2.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -4.83) | 52.77% ( 4.83) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 5.34) | 32.5% ( -5.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 5.58) | 69.03% ( -5.59) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -1.68) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.69) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -1.41) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.78) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.63) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 1.21) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1.06) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.73) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.56) Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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