We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC
Both sides have suffered their share of disappointing results of late, but the Orange and Blue have to be feeling a lot better about their position in the table when compared to the Boys in Blue.
The difference in this one could boil down to quality, and that is something Cincinnati should have a decisive edge in, as the Pigeons have been hesitant and unsure of themselves in the attacking third all year.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.