Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.