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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
3 - 0
Leicester Women

Mead (28', 78'), Russo (75')
Pelova (30'), Little (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 5-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, April 14 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Leicester Women

After Arsenal cruised to a 6-2 victory in November's reverse fixture against Leicester, we think that the Gunners will showcase their extra quality to clinch another comfortable win in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
81.17% (0.042999999999992 0.04) 12.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 6.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.59% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)28.41% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)49.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)5.29% (0.0038999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.16% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.83% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61% (-0.136 -0.14)46.39% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98% (-0.102 -0.1)82.02% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 81.16%
    Leicester Women 6.81%
    Draw 12.02%
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.2% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 81.16%
1-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 12.02%
1-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 6.81%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Leicester Women

Arsenal Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Leicester Women
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester Women
2-6
Arsenal Women
Tierney (36'), Cayman (38')
Cayman (45+4'), Tierney (61')
Lacasse (49'), Russo (52'), Foord (58'), Pelova (61'), Blackstenius (75'), Hurtig (90+8')
Lacasse (45+6')
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Apr 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Leicester Women
0-5
Arsenal Women

Tierney (38'), O'Brien (57')
Mead (2'), Miedema (67', 75'), Plumptre (79' og.), Heath (83')
Wubben-Moy (12'), McCabe (15')
Dec 12, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Nobbs (22'), Miedema (34'), Maanum (81', 83')
Sigsworth (3'), O'Brien (6'), Tierney (82'), Plumptre (86'), Nobbs (90+3')
Purfield (43')
rhs 2.0
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