Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Women win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.