Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Bristol Women

Nobbs (13'), Leon (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thestrup (15'), Jones (75')
Napier (11'), Hayles (83'), Yanez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Women 1-2 West Ham
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBristol City Women
60.66% (1.312 1.31)19.89% (-0.347 -0.35)19.45% (-0.956 -0.96)
Both teams to score 61.59% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (0.21300000000001 0.21)34.3% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.8% (0.239 0.24)56.2% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.98% (0.414 0.41)11.02% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.67% (0.897 0.9)35.33% (-0.889 -0.89)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.777 -0.78)30.79% (0.785 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)67.06% (0.93300000000001 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 60.66%
    Bristol City Women 19.45%
    Draw 19.89%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBristol City Women
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.185 0.19)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.234 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.132 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.182 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.086 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.66%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-1 @ 4% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Women
0-2
Aston Villa

Jones (38')
Connolly (77' og.), Salmon (86')
Leon (35')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
2-2
Bristol Women
Sargeant (3' og.), Haigh (35'), Bryson (74'), Mastrantonio (90+5')
N'Dow (15'), Evans (37'), Asante (69')
Dec 9, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Women
0-4
Aston Villa

Bryson (75')
Petzelberger (42', 67'), Hayles (57', 75')
Petzelberger (64')