Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Brighton Women
3 - 2
Bristol Women

Terland (31', 90+5'), Robinson (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harrison (55'), Jones (83')
Rodgers (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 17 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawBristol City Women
38.99% (-0.113 -0.11)24.05% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.96% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.25% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.147 0.15)41.14% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.15 0.15)63.53% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.23% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.012 0.01)54.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.14 0.14)22.24% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.21 0.21)55.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 38.99%
    Bristol City Women 36.96%
    Draw 24.04%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawBristol City Women
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.96%

Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Brighton Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Le Tissier (7'), Lee (52'), Kaagman (76')
Lee (82'), Green (89')
Harrison (61')
Salmon (45+2')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Bristol Women
3-0
Brighton Women
Daniels (3'), Salmon (34', 59' pen.)

Le Tissier (90+2')
Green (68')
Mar 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 12
Brighton Women
P-P
Bristol Women
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
0-0
Brighton Women
Daniels (40')
Lundorf Skovsen (86')
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
0-0
Brighton Women
Rutherford (73')
Brazil (88')