Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
29.79% ( -0.08)	23.01% ( 0.09)	47.19% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.49% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55% (

-0.47)

38.44% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26% (

-0.5)

60.73% (

0.5)

Bristol City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.29)

25.03% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.4)

59.7% (

0.4)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-0.18)

16.64% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

-0.33)

46.47% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Bristol City Women 29.79%

Aston Villa Women 47.19%

Draw 23.01%

Bristol City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.79%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.35% Total : 47.19%