Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Oct 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
2 - 1
Aston Villa

McCabe (90+2'), Russo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pacheco (25')
Pacheco (43'), Parker (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 8 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
64.44% (-0.11 -0.11)19.54% (0.056999999999999 0.06)16.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)38.84% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85% (-0.194 -0.19)61.15% (0.19 0.19)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)11.37% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9% (-0.17799999999999 -0.18)36.1% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)37.31% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)74.1% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 64.43%
    Aston Villa Women 16.02%
    Draw 19.54%
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arsenal Women
0-2
Aston Villa

Taylor (32'), McCabe (86')
Daly (45+2'), Lehmann (49')
Magill (70'), Allen (77'), Hampton (85'), Hanson (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
Arsenal Women
Hanson (6')
Corsie (26' og.), Miedema (30'), McCabe (62'), Nobbs (84')
> Preview
May 1, 2022 2.15pm
Gameweek 21
Arsenal Women
7-0
Aston Villa
Miedema (9', 13'), Corsie (52' og.), Mead (61'), Wubben-Moy (66'), Blackstenius (83'), Parris (90' pen.)
Foord (90+1')

Petzelberger (54')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-4
Arsenal Women

Pacheco (57')
Little (51', 90+2'), Iwabuchi (80'), McCabe (83')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal Women
0-0
Aston Villa