Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Oct 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
5 - 0
Bristol Women

Roord (9', 45+2'), Aleixandri (33'), Shaw (38', 45+6')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Rodgers (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 3-1 Bristol Women
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawBristol City Women
61.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)20.27% (-0.156 -0.16)18.44% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.956 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.17% (1.073 1.07)37.83% (-1.072 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.92% (1.138 1.14)60.08% (-1.139 -1.14)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.321 0.32)11.92% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (0.673 0.67)37.28% (-0.672 -0.67)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.85000000000001 0.85)33.92% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.907 0.91)70.59% (-0.907 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 61.28%
    Bristol City Women 18.44%
    Draw 20.27%
Manchester City WomenDrawBristol City Women
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-0 @ 8.6% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 18.44%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Women
0-3
Man City Women
Weir (12'), White (30'), Mewis (89')
Stanway (76')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Man City Women
8-1
Bristol Women
Baggaley (9' og.), Coombs (39'), Walsh (42'), Bronze (43'), Stanway (48'), White (58', 85'), Beckie (81')
Salmon (11')
Feb 12, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Man City Women
1-0
Bristol Women
Bonner (2')
Wullaert (80')
Nov 24, 2019 12.30pm
Bristol Women
0-5
Man City Women
Wullaert (21'), White (65'), Bremer (84', 92'), Weir (87')
Jan 6, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
1-1
Man City Women
Graham (62' pen.)
Parris (36')
Stanway (76')