Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 6.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.