Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
0 - 6
Chelsea Women


Patten (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bright (21'), Kirby (26'), Rytting-Kaneryd (56'), Lawrence (63'), Beever-Jones (67'), Charles (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-2 Brighton Women
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
9.77% (-0.087 -0.09)15.2% (-0.036 -0.04)75.02% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.19% (-0.114 -0.11)33.81% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.35% (-0.131 -0.13)55.64% (0.125 0.13)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36% (-0.252 -0.25)43.63% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.207 -0.21)79.82% (0.202 0.2)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.58% (-9.9999999999767E-5 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.14%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 9.77%
    Chelsea Women 75.02%
    Draw 15.2%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.77%
1-1 @ 7.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 11% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 9.46% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.1% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 5.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.15% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 2.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.02%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea Women

Aston Villa Women
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea Women
80.0%
5
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