Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.