Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Griffin Park

Chelsea Women
4 - 2
Brighton Women

Nusken (45+4', 52', 74'), Beever-Jones (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bremer (10'), Terland (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 West Ham
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-3 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 15 at 4pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
77.1% (-0.38799999999999 -0.39)13.92% (0.184 0.18)8.97% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.13% (-0.232 -0.23)29.87% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.96% (-0.281 -0.28)51.03% (0.277 0.28)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.7% (-0.122 -0.12)6.3% (0.1179 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.28% (-0.333 -0.33)23.72% (0.331 0.33)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (0.253 0.25)42.37% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (0.217 0.22)78.75% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 77.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 8.97%
    Draw 13.92%
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-0 @ 10.2%
3-0 @ 9.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.5% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.58% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.59% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 77.1%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 13.92%
1-2 @ 2.72% (0.055 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.97%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea Women
3-1
Brighton Women
Reiten (12' pen.), Carter (21'), Rytting-Kaneryd (71')
Carter (88')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 5
Brighton Women
0-2
Chelsea Women
England (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (86')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Brighton Women
0-0
Chelsea Women
Mosegaard-Harder (33')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 4
Chelsea Women
3-1
Brighton Women
Reiten (9'), Kerr (38'), England (80')
Bright (27'), Reiten (57')
Carter (48')
Kaagman (65')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Chelsea Women
1-2
Brighton Women
Kerr (5')
Whelan (8'), Connolly (78')