Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 0-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.