Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Griffin Park

Chelsea Women
5 - 2
Leicester Women

James (2', 58'), Nevin (5' og.), Kerr (40'), Beever-Jones (88')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rantala (26'), Tierney (44')
Howard (33'), Petermann (48'), Thibaud (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-1 Paris
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Leicester Women

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester Women 1-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 90.55%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 2.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.51%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.08%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLeicester Women
90.55% (0.35000000000001 0.35)6.66% (-0.197 -0.2)2.79% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.25% (-0.841 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.02% (0.037999999999997 0.04)19.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.94% (0.057000000000002 0.06)38.06% (-0.061 -0.06)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.46% (0.048999999999992 0.05)2.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.15% (0.182 0.18)11.84% (-0.188 -0.19)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.4% (-0.88699999999999 -0.89)54.59% (0.884 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.36% (-0.545 -0.55)87.64% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 90.54%
    Leicester Women 2.79%
    Draw 6.66%
Chelsea WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 11.44% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 10.51% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
5-0 @ 7.73% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.93% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 6.37% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 4.74% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 4.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.49% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
7-1 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
8-0 @ 1.14% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 90.54%
1-1 @ 3.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 1.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 6.66%
1-2 @ 0.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 2.79%

Head to Head
May 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Chelsea Women
6-0
Leicester Women
Reiten (8'), Cuthbert (18'), Mosegaard-Harder (32', 42'), James (56'), Cankovic (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leicester Women
0-8
Chelsea Women
Reiten (4'), Fleming (13', 50'), Kirby (39', 82'), Charles (41'), Kerr (45'), England (75')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leicester Women
0-9
Chelsea Women
Reiten (3', 45+5'), Kerr (5', 47'), England (7', 28'), Nouwen (11'), James (88'), Fleming (90')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Chelsea Women
2-0
Leicester Women
Mosegaard-Harder (83'), Kirby (90+4')

Purfield (31')
> Preview