Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
4 - 1
Paris

Kerr (30', 48', 55'), Ingle (90+1')
Buchanan (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Greboval (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Paris Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 5-1 Liverpool Women
Saturday, November 18 at 1.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Paris 1-2 BK Hacken
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Paris Women had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Paris Women win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Women
51.92% (-2.088 -2.09)24.07% (0.31 0.31)24.01% (1.776 1.78)
Both teams to score 53.71% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (0.492 0.49)47.72% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.08% (0.452 0.45)69.91% (-0.455 -0.45)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.604 -0.6)18.36% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-1.033 -1.03)49.48% (1.031 1.03)
Paris Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (1.89 1.89)34.21% (-1.892 -1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (1.974 1.97)70.91% (-1.976 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 51.92%
    Paris Women 24.01%
    Draw 24.07%
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Women
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.553 -0.55)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.223 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.221 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.206 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.374 0.37)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.286 0.29)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.237 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.168 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.01%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Paris

Chelsea Women
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
Paris Women
13.6%
22
rhs 2.0


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