Women's Super League | Gameweek 7
Nov 18, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
5 - 1
Liverpool Women

James (11', 56', 64'), Beever-Jones (24'), Nusken (78')
James (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carter (13' og.)
Bonner (41'), Holland (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
73.85% (1.352 1.35)15.68% (-0.548 -0.55)10.47% (-0.798 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.888 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (0.325 0.33)33.99% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.15% (0.36600000000001 0.37)55.85% (-0.36 -0.36)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.13% (0.369 0.37)7.87% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.13% (0.92 0.92)27.87% (-0.914 -0.91)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.56% (-1.197 -1.2)42.44% (1.202 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-1.043 -1.04)78.82% (1.048 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 73.85%
    Liverpool Women 10.47%
    Draw 15.68%
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.335 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.81% (0.312 0.31)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.96% (0.209 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.53% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.109 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 73.85%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.68%
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.47%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Liverpool Women

Chelsea Women
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Liverpool Women
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 12
Chelsea Women
2-1
Liverpool Women
Charles (41'), Kerr (86')
Koivisto (2')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool Women
2-1
Chelsea Women
Stengel (67' pen., 87' pen.)
Kirby (3' pen.)
May 15, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 13
Chelsea Women
P-P
Liverpool Women
Dec 15, 2019 2pm
Liverpool Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Charles (5')
Linnett (59'), Jane (64'), Bradley (78')
England (15')
Cuthbert (84'), Eriksson (91')
Mar 13, 2019 7pm
Liverpool Women
0-4
Chelsea Women

Little (39')
Kirby (17', 22', 52'), Engman (94')