/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F37%2Fwelcome-to-sports-mole-transparent-click-area.png "Welcome to Sports Mole")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fsports-mole-favicon-32x32.png "Sports Mole FAVICON"){kind=small}
Man City Women2 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
for
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
66.67% ( 0.09) | 17.74% ( -0.06) | 15.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.23) | 30.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.28) | 52.22% ( -0.28) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.38% ( 0.08) | 8.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.25% ( 0.2) | 29.75% ( -0.2) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.12) | 32.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( 0.13) | 69.33% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 15.59% |
How you voted: Man City Women vs Aston Villa
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}