MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 13:16:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Academy Stadium
Man City Women
2 - 1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 7-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women

Although Aston Villa have won four of their last five competitive matches, we think that they will fall short against a Man City side that has lost just one of their 23 home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
66.67% (0.085000000000008 0.09) 17.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 15.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.86% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.278 0.28)52.22% (-0.279 -0.28)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (0.081999999999994 0.08)8.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)29.75% (-0.199 -0.2)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (0.11699999999999 0.12)32.76% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (0.131 0.13)69.33% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 66.67%
    Aston Villa Women 15.59%
    Draw 17.74%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.08% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Aston Villa

Manchester City Women
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Aston Villa Women
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City Women
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City Women
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
0-3
Man City Women
Stanway (5', 75'), Losada (41')
Greenwood (58')
Nov 20, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 8
Man City Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Weir (48'), Stanway (51'), Raso (77', 81'), Hemp (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!