Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.