Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
2 - 0
Leicester Women

Hemp (82'), Kelly (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nevin (9'), Takarada (26'), O'Brien (57'), Howard (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-2 Man City Women
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Leicester Women

All competitions
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, January 28 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 6.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
82.36% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)11.18% (0.023 0.02)6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.87% (-0.129 -0.13)25.13% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.92% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)45.08% (0.167 0.17)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.51% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)4.48% (0.027900000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.6% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)18.4% (0.087 0.09)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.38% (-0.106 -0.11)44.62% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)80.63% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 82.36%
    Leicester Women 6.46%
    Draw 11.18%
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 9.98% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.21% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 82.36%
1-1 @ 5.01% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 11.18%
1-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 6.46%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Leicester Women
0-1
Man City Women

O'Brien (85')
Kelly (10')
Angeldal (90')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 13
Leicester Women
0-2
Man City Women
Shaw (61'), Kelly (74')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Man City Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 20
Man City Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Weir (16'), Hemp (43'), Blakstad (45+3'), Greenwood (63' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester Women
1-4
Man City Women
Sigsworth (1')
O'Brien (45+2')
Weir (24'), Walsh (37'), Hemp (71'), Coombs (83')
> Preview