Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
83.52% ( -0.2)	10.56% ( 0.1)	5.91% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.71% (

-0.08)

24.28% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.02% (

-0.11)

43.98% (

0.1)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.84% (

-0.04)

4.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.62% (

-0.14)

17.38% (

0.13)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.5% (

0.23)

45.49% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.67% (

0.18)

81.33% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 83.52%

Liverpool Women 5.91%

Draw 10.56%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.4% Total : 83.52%	1-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 10.56%	1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 5.91%