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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
1 - 0
Spurs Ladies

Russo (49')
Wubben-Moy (65'), McCabe (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ahtinen (79'), Summanen (82'), Spence (83'), Clinton (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Arsenal may have lost out to Tottenham in the reverse league fixture, but we think that they will make full use of home advantage to get revenge in Sunday's North London Derby at the Emirates Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
68.5% (1.152 1.15) 17.57% (-0.421 -0.42) 13.93% (-0.734 -0.73)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)33.84% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.31% (0.40600000000001 0.41)55.68% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91% (0.357 0.36)9% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.34% (0.854 0.85)30.66% (-0.858 -0.86)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.749 -0.75)36.84% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.757 -0.76)73.63% (0.75399999999999 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 68.5%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 13.93%
    Draw 17.57%
Arsenal WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.64% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.137 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.24% (0.094 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 68.5%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.57%
1-2 @ 3.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.93%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Spurs Ladies

Arsenal Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Spurs Ladies
1-0
Arsenal Women
Thomas (58')
Votikova (70')

Wubben-Moy (63')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Spurs Ladies
1-5
Arsenal Women
England (39' pen.)
Blackstenius (5'), Foord (29', 70'), Little (66' pen.), Maanum (76')
Sep 24, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
4-0
Spurs Ladies
Mead (5'), Miedema (44', 69'), Souza (54')
May 4, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Arsenal Women
3-0
Spurs Ladies
Mead (4'), Foord (71', 82')
McCabe (73')

Simon (24'), Summanen (57'), Green (73'), Clemaron (74')
Nov 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Spurs Ladies
1-1
Arsenal Women
Deman (65')
Clemaron (50'), Neville (82'), Ayane (90+1')
Miedema (90+2')
Mead (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Ruud
Tsitsipas
1 4
6 6
Tables header RHS


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