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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 10, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal Women
4 - 1
Chelsea Women
Mead (8'), Ilestedt (36'), Russo (38', 74' pen.)
McCabe (54'), Foord (56'), Maritz (82'), Maanum (84'), Pelova (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rytting-Kaneryd (13')
James (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-0 West Ham
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Chelsea Women

Although both sides will be desperate to claim maximum points to aid their respective title bids, we think that the title rivals will have to settle for a share of the spoils, which may suit a Chelsea side that boasts a three-point lead over Sunday's hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
38.11% (0.39 0.39) 26.06% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 35.83% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.282 0.28)50.48% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.248 0.25)72.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.349 0.35)25.87% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.466 0.47)60.85% (-0.463 -0.46)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.18% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.07 -0.07)62.58% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 38.11%
    Chelsea Women 35.83%
    Draw 26.06%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.83%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Chelsea Women

Arsenal Women
50.0%
Draw
8.3%
Chelsea Women
41.7%
12
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Chelsea Women
2-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (22'), Ericsson (41')

Wubben-Moy (34'), McCabe (45+1')
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Little (57' pen.)
Kerr (89')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Chelsea Women
0-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (52')
Maritz (44'), Walti (53')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Final
Arsenal Women
0-3
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), McCabe (66'), Parris (80')
Kirby (3'), Kerr (57', 77')
Cuthbert (45')
rhs 2.0
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