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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Feb 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
0 - 0
Arsenal Women


Reiten (52')
FT

Maritz (44'), Walti (53')

Preview: Chelsea Women vs. Arsenal Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Arguably the biggest game of the Women's Super League season to date takes place on Friday evening, when league leaders Arsenal Women travel to Kingsmeadow, where they face second-placed Chelsea Women.

The Gunners are at risk of being leapfrogged by the Blues, who currently sit two points behind Arsenal, meaning that three points for the hosts will see them move into top spot and still have a game in hand to their advantage.


Match preview

Chelsea Women's Guro Reiten celebrates scoring their first goal on February 6, 2022© Reuters

These two sides faced each other on the opening day of the campaign at the Emirates, where Arsenal claimed all three points in a 3-2 win, thanks to goals from Vivianne Miedema and a brace from Beth Mead.

Ever since then, Emma Hayes's side have been playing catch up but they have ensured that they remained within touching distance of the Gunners, so that this game can be the turning point for the reigning champions.

Chelsea will be looking to continue their winning run in all competitions, entering this match following a 1-0 win against an in-form Manchester City side, with Guro Reiten's early strike enough to settle that close encounter in West London.

The Blues have the best defensive record in the WSL this season, only conceding six goals in 12 outings, with three of those coming against Arsenal on the opening day, suggesting that the Gunners know what it takes to unsettle the Chelsea backline.

Hayes's side have not only remained unbeaten on home soil this campaign, they have a 100% record on their own patch in the WSL, winning six out of six while scoring 17 goals and conceding on just one occasion, perhaps meaning that the Blues are favourites for Friday's clash.

Arsenal Women manager Jonas Eidevall on February 5, 2022© Reuters

Jonas Eidevall's side have allowed Chelsea the chance to leapfrog them into top spot this week, after picking up just a single point in their 1-1 draw against Manchester United last Saturday.

Both sides created many chances in that encounter, but the Gunners had to wait until the 79th minute for Stina Blackstenius to find an equaliser, with the Swedish international netting her first goal for the club.

Like their hosts on Friday, Arsenal are also unbeaten at home this season, but they have struggled more away from Meadow Park, and will need to perform better against Chelsea to get back to winning ways on the road, having picked up just one point from their last two away fixtures.

Eidevall's side will take confidence from their triumph in the reverse fixture, but their recent form suggests that they may struggle to get a foothold in this match early enough to prevent Chelsea taking control, having fallen behind to both Manchester City and Man United in recent weeks.

In contrast, Chelsea will know that they can get the better of Arsenal, as they did in the FA Cup final at the beginning of December, when goals from Fran Kirby and a brace from Samantha Kerr sealed a 3-0 win for Hayes's side.

Defeat for the Gunners on Friday will put a massive dent in their quest to lift the WSL trophy in May, as it could leave them four points behind Chelsea, if the Blues win their game in hand, which will be played at the end of April.

Chelsea Women Women's Super League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Chelsea Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Arsenal Women Women's Super League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Arsenal Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Chelsea Women's Jessie Fleming celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 2, 2022© Reuters

South Korean international Ji So-Yun just missed out on lifting the Asian Cup with her nation on Sunday, but she will now be available to Chelsea after the conclusion of that tournament.

Jessie Fleming was favoured to Kirby in the starting 11 against Man City on the weekend, but the England international is expected to come into the front three alongside Kerr and Pernille Harder.

Aniek Nouwen will continue in the back three, in the absence of Magda Eriksson through injury, while Millie Bright and Jess Carter will make up the rest of the defensive trio.

Arsenal's Katie McCabe wills serve her one-match suspension after receiving double yellow cards against Man United, meaning that Steph Catley will start in the left-back role, with Leah Williamson potentially coming back into the starting 11 alongside Jennifer Beattie in the heart of defence.

Blackstenius could be handed her first WSL start after netting the equaliser last time out, coming into a front three also including Miedema and Mead.

Chelsea Women possible starting lineup:
Berger; Nouwen, Bright, Carter; Reiten, Andersson, Ingle, Cuthbert; Harder, Kerr, Kirby

Arsenal Women possible starting lineup:
Zinsberger; Catley, Williamson, Beattie, Maritz; Maanum, Walti, Little; Blackstenius, Miedema, Mead


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

Given their positions in the table it is likely to be a closely-fought encounter on Friday, with Arsenal expected to test Chelsea's defence which has been so strong this campaign.

Chelsea will be playing in front of a sell out crowd in Kingsmeadow, and home advantage could play a pivotal role in the result, with the Blues just edging a massive three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women

Chelsea Women
60.0%
Draw
16.0%
Arsenal Women
24.0%
25
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Manchester United Women's Vilde Boe Risa celebrates scoring their first goal with Leah Galton on January 22, 2022
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