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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
0 - 4
Chelsea Women


Momiki (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bjorn (38'), Ramirez (44'), Rytting-Kaneryd (64'), Macario (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester Women 5-2 Bristol Women
Sunday, February 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Man City Women
Friday, February 16 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 0-3 Chelsea Women

Chelsea usually fare well in their recent meetings with Leicester, and while they may have a number of absentees, we think that they will still have enough quality to claim another comfortable victory over the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-3 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawChelsea Women
14.55% (0.526 0.53) 17.17% (0.314 0.31) 68.27% (-0.84 -0.84)
Both teams to score 60.94% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.69% (-0.346 -0.35)30.31% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.44% (-0.416 -0.42)51.56% (0.416 0.42)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.447 0.45)33.66% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.483 0.48)70.31% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86% (-0.261 -0.26)8.13% (0.2611 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (-0.661 -0.66)28.54% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 14.55%
    Chelsea Women 68.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Leicester WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 4.07% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 2.98% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.055 0.06)
2-0 @ 1.62% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 14.55%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.85% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 4.52% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.68% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.47% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-5 @ 2.27% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
0-6 @ 0.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 68.27%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea Women
5-2
Leicester Women
James (2', 58'), Nevin (5' og.), Kerr (40'), Beever-Jones (88')
Rantala (26'), Tierney (44')
Howard (33'), Petermann (48'), Thibaud (75')
May 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Chelsea Women
6-0
Leicester Women
Reiten (8'), Cuthbert (18'), Mosegaard-Harder (32', 42'), James (56'), Cankovic (90+3')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leicester Women
0-8
Chelsea Women
Reiten (4'), Fleming (13', 50'), Kirby (39', 82'), Charles (41'), Kerr (45'), England (75')
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leicester Women
0-9
Chelsea Women
Reiten (3', 45+5'), Kerr (5', 47'), England (7', 28'), Nouwen (11'), James (88'), Fleming (90')
Oct 10, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Chelsea Women
2-0
Leicester Women
Mosegaard-Harder (83'), Kirby (90+4')

Purfield (31')
rhs 2.0
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