Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton Women
0 - 3
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
James (46', 59'), Kirby (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 3-2 Bristol Women
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 78.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawChelsea Women
8.07% (0.414 0.41)13.18% (0.438 0.44)78.74% (-0.85499999999999 -0.85)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.63% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)29.36% (0.71 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.57% (-0.872 -0.87)50.42% (0.87 0.87)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03% (0.42400000000001 0.42)43.97% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (0.346 0.35)80.09% (-0.348 -0.35)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.09% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)5.9% (0.2939 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.4% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)22.6% (0.839 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 8.07%
    Chelsea Women 78.73%
    Draw 13.19%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 2.48% (0.115 0.12)
1-0 @ 2.13% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 8.07%
1-1 @ 6.03% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.19%
0-2 @ 10.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 9.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.171 0.17)
0-4 @ 6.94% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-4 @ 5.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-5 @ 3.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.037 0.04)
1-5 @ 3.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-6 @ 1.52% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 78.73%

How you voted: Brighton Women vs Chelsea Women

Brighton & Hove Albion Women
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea Women
80.0%
5
Head to Head
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Brighton Women
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