Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

James (5', 23', 85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ladd (43')
Ladd (50'), Parris (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: BK Hacken 1-3 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-2 Liverpool Women
Sunday, December 17 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
48.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.96% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)61.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)16.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)45.96% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 48.49%
    Manchester United Women 28.55%
    Draw 22.95%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.55%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Man Utd Women

Chelsea Women
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Manchester United Women
28.6%
7
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Final
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1-0
Man Utd Women
Kerr (68')
> Match Report
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Kerr (60'), James (64'), Cuthbert (90+2')
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Thomas (13'), Toone (25')
Ladd (11')
> Preview
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