Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.