Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Lauren James 5' goal
  • Lauren James 23' goal
  • Lauren James 85' goal
  • goal Hayley Ladd 43'
  • yellowcard Hayley Ladd 50'
  • yellowcard Nikita Parris 76'

Chelsea Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
Bristol Women 0 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lauren James

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 12.15pm
Man Utd 1 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nikita Parris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Chelsea Women 48.49% (+0.01)
Draw 22.96% (-0.01)
Manchester United Women 28.55% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.81% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.04% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.96% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 38.72% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.28% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.12% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.88% (-0.03)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 83.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.35% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.03% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.96% (-0.03)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 48.49%
Draw 22.95%
Manchester United Women 28.55%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 48.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.95%
Manchester United Women
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.55%

Head to Head

Women's FA Cup
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 68' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 23' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 7
Nov 6, 2022 6.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alessia Russo 71' goal
  • goal Samantha Kerr 60'
  • goal Lauren James 64'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 8, 2022 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Erin Cuthbert 18' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 46' goal
  • Guro Reiten 51' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 66' goal
  • Jessie Fleming 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayley Ladd 11'
  • goal Martha Thomas 13'
  • goal Ella Toone 25'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2021 12.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Alessia Russo 48' goal
  • goal Fran Kirby 2'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 24'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 41'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 51'
  • goal Drew Spence 87'
  • goal Jessie Fleming 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 30' goal
  • Fran Kirby 65' goal
  • Guro Reiten 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lauren James 61'
  • yellowcard Jackie Groenen 75'