Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
40.82% ( 0.05)	24.47% ( -0.02)	34.7% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.35% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.53% (

0.08)

43.47% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

0.08)

65.86% (

-0.08)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

0.06)

21.36% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66% (

0.09)

54.33% (

-0.09)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

0.02)

24.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41% (

0.03)

58.99% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 40.82%

Manchester City Women 34.7%

Draw 24.47%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.82%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.7%