Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
5 - 0
Bristol Women

Mead (7', 32'), Powell (34' og.), Russo (59', 74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 24 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
86.59% (0.093000000000004 0.09)9.24% (-0.064 -0.06)4.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.41% (0.20400000000001 0.2)26.58% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.04% (0.25899999999999 0.26)46.96% (-0.259 -0.26)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.92% (0.048000000000002 0.05)4.08% (-0.0491 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.88% (0.15300000000001 0.15)17.12% (-0.155 -0.16)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)53.84% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.82% (0.029 0.03)87.17% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 86.58%
    Bristol City Women 4.17%
    Draw 9.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
3-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 9.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 6.14% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.94% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 86.58%
1-1 @ 4.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.24%
0-1 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.17%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Women
1-2
Arsenal Women
Furness (16')
Furness (84'), Murray (90+3')
McCabe (7', 59')
Wubben-Moy (31'), Russo (78')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Miedema (4', 65'), Van de Donk (45+1'), Mead (63')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Nobbs (42'), Foord (50'), Miedema (86')
Harrison (6')
Mar 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Women
P-P
Arsenal Women
Dec 1, 2019 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
11-1
Bristol Women
Evans (7', 60'), Williamson (10'), Miedema (15', 32', 36', 51', 56', 64'), Nobbs (54'), Mitchell (79')
Daniels (85')