Women's Super League Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2024 6.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Meadow Park
  • Beth Mead 7' goal
  • Beth Mead 32' goal
  • Ella Powell 34' goal
  • Alessia Russo 59' goal
  • Alessia Russo 74' goal

Arsenal Women vs Bristol City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Arsenal
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Alessia Russo

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 24, 2024 2.00pm
Bristol Women 0 - 1 Spurs
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Amalie Thestrup

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 86.59% (+0.10)
Draw 9.24% (-0.07)
Bristol City Women 4.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.28% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.41% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 26.58% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 53.04% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 46.96% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 33.58% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 66.41% (-0.25)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 95.92% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 4.08% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 82.88% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 17.12% (-0.16)

Bristol City Women Goals

Over 0.5 46.16% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 53.84% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 12.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 87.17% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 86.58%
Draw 9.24%
Bristol City Women 4.17%
Arsenal Women
3-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 6.14% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 3.27% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.03% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 86.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.35% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.24%
Bristol City Women
0-1 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.17%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 22, 2023 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Rachel Furness 16' goal
  • Rachel Furness 84' yellowcard
  • Satara Murray 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Katie McCabe 7'
  • yellowcard Lotte Wubben-Moy 31'
  • goal Katie McCabe 59'
  • yellowcard Alessia Russo 78'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Apr 4, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 4'
  • goal Danielle van de Donk 45'+1'
  • goal Beth Mead 63'
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 65'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jordan Nobbs 42' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 50' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 86' goal
  • goal Abby Harrison 6'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Mar 22, 2020 3.00pm
Women's Super League
Dec 1, 2019 12.30pm
11
1
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Lisa Evans 7' goal
  • Leah Williamson 10' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 15' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 32' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 36' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 51' goal
  • Jordan Nobbs 54' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 56' goal
  • Lisa Evans 60' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 64' goal
  • Emma Mitchell 79' goal
  • goal Yana Daniels 85'
Women's Super League
Mar 14, 2019 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vivianne Miedema 11' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 59' goal
  • Katie McCabe 76' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 78' goal
  • yellowcard Loren Dykes 25'