Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
2 - 0
Bristol Women

Naalsund (9', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Napier (2'), Harrison (90+9')
Napier (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Women 3-7 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawBristol City Women
86.34% (-1.293 -1.29)9.25% (0.736 0.74)4.41% (0.554 0.55)
Both teams to score 46.67% (1.368 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.96% (-0.908 -0.91)25.04% (0.906 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.03% (-1.194 -1.19)44.96% (1.192 1.19)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.13% (-0.336 -0.34)3.86% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.56% (-1.107 -1.11)16.43% (1.103 1.1)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.54% (1.585 1.59)51.46% (-1.589 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35% (1.027 1.03)85.65% (-1.03 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 86.34%
    Bristol City Women 4.41%
    Draw 9.25%
Manchester United WomenDrawBristol City Women
3-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 9.28% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.355 0.36)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.209 0.21)
4-1 @ 6.17% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.04% (-0.485 -0.49)
5-1 @ 4.01% (-0.123 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.28% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.174 0.17)
6-1 @ 2.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.088 0.09)
7-0 @ 1.52% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-2 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 86.34%
1-1 @ 4.3% (0.329 0.33)
2-2 @ 2.32% (0.219 0.22)
0-0 @ 1.99% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 9.25%
1-2 @ 1.43% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.32% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 4.41%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bristol Women
0-2
Man Utd Women

Aspin (4'), Connolly (64')
Miyazawa (50'), Parris (55')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
Bristol Women
0-1
Man Utd Women
Daniels (79' og.)
Bryson (83'), Purfield (86'), Zelem (88')
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd Women
6-1
Bristol Women
Galton (26', 63'), Turner (45+2'), Sigsworth (52'), Heath (83', 86')
Ladd (66')
Salmon (72')
Rafferty (40')
Apr 25, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Women
P-P
Man Utd Women
Jan 5, 2020 12pm
Man Utd Women
0-1
Bristol Women

James (38'), Toone (94')
Salmon (34')
Evans (38'), Hughes (82'), Chance (94')