Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2024 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Lisa Naalsund 9' goal
  • Lisa Naalsund 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie-Lee Napier 2'
  • redcard Jamie-Lee Napier 82'
  • yellowcard Abby Harrison 90'+9'

Manchester United Women vs Bristol City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 3.00pm
West Ham 1 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nikita Parris

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 2.00pm
Bristol Women 3 - 7 Brighton
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Amalie Thestrup

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result

Manchester United Women 86.34% (-1.30)
Draw 9.25% (+0.74)
Bristol City Women 4.41% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.67% (+1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.96% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 25.04% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 55.03% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 44.96% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 35.51% (-1.18)
Under 4.5 64.48% (+1.18)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 96.13% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 3.86% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 83.56% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 16.43% (+1.11)

Bristol City Women Goals

Over 0.5 48.54% (+1.59)
Under 0.5 51.46% (-1.59)
Over 1.5 14.35% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 85.65% (-1.04)

Score analysis

Manchester United Women 86.34%
Draw 9.25%
Bristol City Women 4.41%
Manchester United Women
3-0 @ 11.41% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 10.52% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 9.28% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 7.58% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 6.99% (+0.36)
1-0 @ 6.47% (+0.21)
4-1 @ 6.17% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 6.04% (-0.49)
5-1 @ 4.01% (-0.13)
6-0 @ 3.28% (-0.37)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.18)
6-1 @ 2.18% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 2.05% (+0.09)
7-0 @ 1.52% (-0.22)
5-2 @ 1.33% (+0.03)
7-1 @ 1.01% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 86.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.3% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 2.32% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 1.99% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 9.25%
Bristol City Women
1-2 @ 1.43% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 1.32% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 4.41%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 26, 2023 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Brooke Aspin 4' yellowcard
  • Megan Connolly 64' yellowcard
  • goal Hinata Miyazawa 50'
  • goal Nikita Parris 55'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
May 2, 2021 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yana Daniels 79' goal
  • Faye Bryson 83' yellowcard
  • Jemma Purfield 86' yellowcard
  • Katie Zelem 88' yellowcard
Women's Super League Gameweek 7
Dec 20, 2020 12.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Leah Galton 26' goal
  • Millie Turner 45'+2' goal
  • Jessica Sigsworth 52' goal
  • Leah Galton 63' goal
  • Hayley Ladd 66' yellowcard
  • Tobin Heath 83' goal
  • Tobin Heath 86' goal
  • yellowcard Laura Rafferty 40'
  • goal Ebony Salmon 72'
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Apr 25, 2020 1.00pm
Women's Super League
Jan 5, 2020 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lauren James 38' yellowcard
  • Ella Toone 94' yellowcard
  • goal Ebony Salmon 34'
  • yellowcard Gemma Evans 38'
  • yellowcard Elise Hughes 82'
  • yellowcard Olivia Chance 94'