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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
3 - 7
Brighton Women

Connolly (47'), Aspin (71'), Thestrup (74')
Powell (22')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Terland (20', 54'), Bremer (24'), Pinto (64'), Haley (89'), Losada (90+2' pen.), Robinson (90+6')
Pinto (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester Women 5-2 Bristol Women
Sunday, February 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, February 18 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Although Brighton have won just three league games this season, we think that they will prove too strong for a Bristol City side that has lost 10 of their 14 WSL matches this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
23.98% (0.289 0.29) 22.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 53.47% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.386 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (0.35100000000001 0.35)41.04% (-0.355 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (0.356 0.36)63.43% (-0.36 -0.36)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.43299999999999 0.43)30.59% (-0.435 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.511 0.51)66.82% (-0.514 -0.51)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)15.36% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)44.14% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 23.98%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 53.47%
    Draw 22.55%
Bristol City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 23.98%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.86%
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.47%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton Women
3-2
Bristol Women
Terland (31', 90+5'), Robinson (57')
Harrison (55'), Jones (83')
Rodgers (52')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Brighton Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Le Tissier (7'), Lee (52'), Kaagman (76')
Lee (82'), Green (89')
Harrison (61')
Salmon (45+2')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Bristol Women
3-0
Brighton Women
Daniels (3'), Salmon (34', 59' pen.)

Le Tissier (90+2')
Green (68')
Mar 29, 2020 2pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Women
0-0
Brighton Women
Daniels (40')
Lundorf Skovsen (86')
rhs 2.0
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