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Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
2 - 0
Brighton Women

Parris (9', 64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Terland (55'), Lee (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-3 Chelsea Women
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

While we believe that Brighton will run Man United close in Sunday's fixture, we think that the hosts will have the extra-quality required to edge out the Seagulls and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
74.85% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2) 14.88% (0.103 0.1) 10.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.54% (-0.226 -0.23)30.45% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.26% (-0.269 -0.27)51.74% (0.266 0.27)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)6.85% (0.089 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.78% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)25.22% (0.239 0.24)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)40.29% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)76.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 74.85%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 10.26%
    Draw 14.88%
Manchester United WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 3.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 74.85%
1-1 @ 6.73% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.88%
1-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.51% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 10.26%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs Brighton Women

Manchester United Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 5
Brighton Women
2-2
Man Utd Women
Terland (30'), Bergsvand (89')
Toone (78'), Deman (90+8')
Le Tissier (12'), Riviere (57'), Zelem (90+4'), Zelem (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Man Utd Women
3-2
Brighton Women
Galton (47'), Russo (71'), Deman (89')
Earps (36' og.), Carter (75')
Apr 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Brighton Women
0-4
Man Utd Women
Galton (12', 66'), Deman (86'), Garcia (87')
Oct 16, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Man Utd Women
4-0
Brighton Women
Toone (14', 26'), Galton (40'), Leon (78')
Apr 3, 2022 12pm
rhs 2.0
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