Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
45%	25.27%	29.72%

Both teams to score 54.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22%

48.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12%

70.88%

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18%

54.81%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72%

30.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55%

66.45%

Score Analysis

Manchester United Women 45%

Chelsea Women 29.72%

Draw 25.27%

Manchester United Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.72%