Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Ajax Women
46.32% ( 0.67)	22.69% ( -0.02)	30.99% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 64.44% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.8% (

-0.21)

36.2% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.69% (

-0.23)

58.31% (

0.23)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

0.17)

16.1% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49% (

0.31)

45.51% (

-0.31)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-0.47)

23.19% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91% (

-0.7)

57.09% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 46.32%

Ajax Women 30.99%

Draw 22.69%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Ajax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.32%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.99%