Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Jan 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sportpark De Toekomst

Ajax
2 - 1
Roma

Hoekstra (45'), Kramzar (84' og.)
Spitse (31'), Grant (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bartoli (32')
Di Guglielmo (72')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Ajax Women and Roma Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

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Last Game: PSG 3-1 Ajax
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Roma Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma Women win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Ajax WomenDrawRoma Women
32.46% (0.224 0.22)23.39% (0.081 0.08)44.14% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 62.57% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.05% (-0.306 -0.31)38.94% (0.307 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.73% (-0.323 -0.32)61.26% (0.323 0.32)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)23.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)18.02% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.422 -0.42)48.9% (0.422 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Ajax Women 32.46%
    Roma Women 44.14%
    Draw 23.39%
Ajax WomenDrawRoma Women
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.27% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 44.14%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-0
Ajax
Giacinti (5', 14'), Giugliano (47')
Spugna (80')

Keijzer (49'), Spitse (89')
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