Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Varkert Sportpalya

Varda SE
1 - 0
Fehervar

Camaj (53' pen.)
Matic (23'), Lucas (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Serafimov (52'), Gradisar (76'), Fiola (79')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Kisvarda and Fehervar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varda SE

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-0 Varda SE
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varda SE in this match.

Result
Varda SEDrawFehervar
42.41% (0.262 0.26)25.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)31.78% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.294 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (-0.327 -0.33)50.21% (0.325 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (-0.292 -0.29)72.17% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.51% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.374 -0.37)29.59% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.455 -0.45)65.62% (0.453 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Varda SE 42.41%
    Fehervar 31.78%
    Draw 25.81%
Varda SEDrawFehervar
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.78%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 4.45pm
Gameweek 8
Varda SE
1-2
Fehervar
Larsen (86' og.)
Nikolov (50'), Melnyk (85')
Gradisar (56'), Stefanelli (82')
Toth (84')
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Fehervar
3-1
Varda SE
Serafimov (28'), Kodro (60'), Flores (90+5')
Schon (36'), Flores (41'), Katona (64')
Camaj (11')
Camaj (19'), Melnyk (36'), Mesanovic (42'), Lippai (58'), Balogh (90+2')