Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.