Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zalaegerszegi TE win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zalaegerszegi TE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zalaegerszegi TE would win this match.