Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Varkert Sportpalya

Varda SE
1 - 3
Debrecen

Mesanovic (5')
Otvos (23'), Cipetic (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vajda (39'), Domingues (54'), Manrique (90')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Kisvarda and Debrecen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MTK 2-1 Varda SE
Sunday, March 17 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 5-1 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.

Result
Varda SEDrawDebrecen
29.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)42.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.9% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)58.7% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.035 -0.04)79.24% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (-0.023 -0.02)72.22% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)27.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.78% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Varda SE 29.71%
    Debrecen 42.45%
    Draw 27.82%
Varda SEDrawDebrecen
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.45%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Varda SE
0-0
Debrecen
Stefan (39'), Jovicic (70')
Ferenczi (29')
Aug 21, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 15
Debrecen
4-1
Varda SE
Kiziridis (7'), Dzsudzsak (77' pen.), Loncar (84'), Bodi (90+5')
Mojzis (45+1'), Loncar (84')
Vida (52')
Szor (55'), Camaj (90+4')