Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.