Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2024 at 1.15pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
5 - 0
Mezokovesdi

Stefanelli (31'), Christensen (61', 70' pen.), Karamoko (75'), Berki (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kallai (67')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Mezokovesd-Zsory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-0 Fehervar
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mezokovesdi 0-3 Ferencvaros
Sunday, March 31 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mezokovesd-Zsory had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Mezokovesd-Zsory win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawMezokovesd-Zsory
43.51% (-0.163 -0.16)25.26% (0.216 0.22)31.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.75 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (-0.965 -0.96)48.03% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (-0.893 -0.89)70.2% (0.893 0.89)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.483 -0.48)22.04% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.738 -0.74)55.38% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
Mezokovesd-Zsory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.518 -0.52)28.86% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-0.645 -0.64)64.73% (0.646 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 43.51%
    Mezokovesd-Zsory 31.24%
    Draw 25.25%
FehervarDrawMezokovesd-Zsory
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Mezokovesdi
0-2
Fehervar

Kuttor (63'), Gomis (76'), (90+4')
Kuttor (0')
Kodro (90+5' pen.), Christensen (90+7')
Serafimov (10')
Aug 27, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Fehervar
2-0
Mezokovesdi
Szabo (82'), Kastrati (90+4')
Kastrati (90+5')

Beriashvili (17'), Kallai (63'), Brtan (84')